Albania U19 vs Portugal U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
76.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albania U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
DEN
1 - 0
ALB
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
BGR
1 - 1
ALB
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 1
SVK
20%
22%
58%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
GRC
1 - 0
ALB
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 2
BLR
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Portugal U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
POR
2 - 1
WAL
83%
12%
6%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
POR
0 - 1
GER
41%
24%
35%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
SRB
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
AUT
1 - 2
POR
27%
23%
50%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2014 |
HUN
1 - 6
POR
13%
19%
69%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |