Albania U21 vs Russia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
65.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
POL
4 - 3
ALB
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
ALB
4 - 3
MDA
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
ALB
0 - 3
POL
28%
25%
48%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2011 |
NED
5 - 0
ALB
75%
17%
8%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
UZB
0 - 1
ALB
14%
20%
67%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Russia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
RUS
2 - 1
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
MDA
0 - 6
RUS
12%
18%
70%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
POL
0 - 2
RUS
28%
24%
48%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 1
RUS
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 0
RUS
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |