Albania U21 vs Portugal U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
63.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
ALB
0 - 1
RUS
14%
21%
66%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
POL
4 - 3
ALB
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
ALB
4 - 3
MDA
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
ALB
0 - 3
POL
28%
25%
48%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2011 |
NED
5 - 0
ALB
75%
17%
8%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
POR
5 - 0
MDA
84%
12%
4%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
RUS
2 - 1
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
POL
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
FRA
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
MDA
0 - 2
POR
11%
20%
69%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |