Albania U21 vs Poland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
47.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2011 |
NED
5 - 0
ALB
75%
17%
8%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
UZB
0 - 1
ALB
14%
20%
67%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
ISR
1 - 1
ALB
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
ALB
3 - 1
GEO
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
ROU
2 - 0
ALB
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
POL
1 - 0
DEN
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2011 |
POL
1 - 2
GRC
32%
26%
43%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
POL
0 - 1
ESP
20%
24%
56%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
FIN
2 - 0
POL
32%
26%
43%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2010 |
LUX
1 - 0
POL
14%
19%
68%
|
61 | 24 | 37 | -1 |