Albania U21 vs Poland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
53.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
ALB
1 - 2
BLR
20%
24%
56%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
ALB
2 - 2
AUT
24%
26%
50%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
BLR
4 - 2
ALB
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
AUT
3 - 1
ALB
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
ALB
1 - 0
AZE
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
NED
3 - 2
POL
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
ROU
2 - 1
POL
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
DEN
0 - 1
POL
59%
21%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
POL
0 - 4
NED
31%
26%
44%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
LIE
0 - 5
POL
16%
20%
64%
|
62 | 6 | 56 | 0 |