Albania U21 vs Italy U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
62.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
ALB
1 - 0
CRO
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
ALB
1 - 0
FRO
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2007 |
ITA
4 - 0
ALB
78%
16%
6%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
ALB
0 - 3
ESP
13%
23%
64%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
SVK
0 - 0
ALB
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 1
FRO
80%
15%
5%
|
82 | 46 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 1
FRA
43%
28%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
POR
0 - 0
ITA
31%
25%
44%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
ITA
3 - 1
CZE
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2007 |
ENG
2 - 2
ITA
36%
25%
39%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |