UEFA EC U21 Quarter-finals
Global 0-2
Albania U21 vs Italy U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1983 |
GER
1 - 1
ALB
69%
16%
14%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1983 |
ALB
3 - 0
AUT
63%
19%
18%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1983 |
ALB
1 - 0
TUR
63%
19%
19%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1983 |
ALB
1 - 1
GER
47%
22%
31%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1982 |
TUR
0 - 1
ALB
57%
20%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1983 |
ITA
2 - 0
CYP
73%
16%
11%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
ROU
0 - 1
ITA
44%
23%
33%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1983 |
ESP
2 - 2
ITA
51%
22%
27%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1983 |
ITA
2 - 1
CSK
58%
20%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1983 |
ITA
2 - 0
ESP
58%
20%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |