Albalonga vs Castiadas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
5.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albalonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
OST
0 - 2
ALB
35%
23%
42%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 1
BUD
73%
16%
12%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ALB
3 - 5
VIT
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
AST
0 - 3
ALB
15%
18%
67%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CYN
1 - 3
ALB
23%
22%
55%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Castiadas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 0
CYN
31%
23%
46%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ARZ
0 - 3
CAS
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 3
OLB
14%
20%
66%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 1
CAS
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LAN
0 - 1
CAS
81%
13%
7%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +1 |