Albacete vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albacete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
RMC
1 - 1
ALB
46%
25%
30%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ALB
4 - 2
MON
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
GET
1 - 2
ALB
21%
25%
54%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 1
LEV
19%
23%
58%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
ALB
3 - 1
HUE
34%
30%
36%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
RJA
2 - 0
LOR
57%
26%
17%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
RJA
3 - 0
AGD
37%
29%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
RJA
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
RJA
1 - 1
CAD
21%
26%
53%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
RJA
0 - 0
CCF
19%
24%
57%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |