Albacete vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albacete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
REU
1 - 2
ALB
35%
30%
35%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ALB
3 - 0
CCF
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
UDL
1 - 1
ALB
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
ALB
1 - 1
DEP
19%
25%
56%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
ALB
2 - 2
LEV
19%
25%
56%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
MAJ
1 - 0
LUG
22%
28%
50%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
LUG
3 - 2
NUM
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 1
LUG
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 2
MAL
18%
28%
55%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LUG
0 - 2
PON
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | -1 |