Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 4-4
Albacete vs Lorca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albacete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1997 |
UDL
3 - 2
ALB
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1997 |
ALB
1 - 1
EIB
68%
21%
12%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1997 |
ALB
2 - 0
NUM
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
CDT
2 - 2
ALB
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1997 |
LOR
0 - 2
ALB
17%
23%
61%
|
74 | 38 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1997 |
MOT
2 - 2
LOR
36%
28%
36%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1997 |
LOR
0 - 1
GUA
55%
25%
20%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
ECI
1 - 1
LOR
68%
21%
11%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1997 |
LOR
0 - 2
ALB
17%
23%
61%
|
38 | 74 | 36 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
LOR
0 - 2
MME
49%
26%
25%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |