Albacete vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
52.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albacete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
ALB
2 - 0
CIE
80%
12%
8%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
IMP
2 - 1
ALB
46%
21%
33%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
ALB
4 - 0
ORI
86%
9%
5%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
ACE
1 - 1
ALB
35%
22%
43%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
ALB
3 - 0
ALI
76%
14%
10%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
SEV
2 - 0
ALC
73%
15%
13%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
ALC
2 - 1
VAD
52%
22%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
ATH
3 - 0
ALC
78%
12%
10%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
ALC
0 - 0
ATM
28%
23%
49%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
VCF
5 - 3
ALC
78%
13%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |