Atlético Albacete vs CD Noblejas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
1º
7º
1º
1
8º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
5º
|
4 | 64 |
1º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 63 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 60 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 60 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 59 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 56 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 55 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 51 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 50 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 44 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 43 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 43 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 39 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 35 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 31 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 31 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
1 | 29 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 28 |
18º
|
26% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
23% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
47.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
29.5% | 44% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 55% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Albacete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CDT
1 - 1
CIU
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
TAR
2 - 2
CIU
40%
25%
36%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CIU
3 - 3
TOR
78%
15%
8%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ATT
0 - 2
CIU
20%
22%
59%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CIU
1 - 0
UDS
42%
27%
32%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Noblejas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NOB
2 - 2
HBA
39%
24%
37%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
YUN
0 - 0
NOB
20%
22%
58%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
NOB
2 - 3
SCU
73%
16%
10%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
T66
1 - 2
NOB
19%
21%
60%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NOB
0 - 0
ADS
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |