Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-2
Deportivo Alavés vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
ALA
1 - 1
PAL
57%
25%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
ALA
0 - 0
CEL
52%
27%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1980 |
VAD
1 - 0
ALA
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
GRA
2 - 2
ALA
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1980 |
ALA
1 - 0
ALG
69%
21%
10%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
VAD
0 - 2
GDE
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
LEV
1 - 0
VAD
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1980 |
VAD
1 - 0
ALA
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
VAD
4 - 0
MUR
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1980 |
CAS
3 - 0
VAD
43%
29%
28%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |