Deportivo Alavés vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
33.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1929 |
SEV
1 - 0
ALA
63%
19%
18%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1929 |
ALA
1 - 1
CEL
44%
22%
34%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1929 |
DEP
0 - 1
ALA
66%
18%
16%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1929 |
ALA
3 - 1
OVI
56%
21%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1929 |
ALA
1 - 1
BET
58%
21%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1929 |
VCF
0 - 0
SPO
54%
20%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1929 |
DEP
2 - 0
VCF
43%
23%
35%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1929 |
VCF
3 - 1
BET
62%
18%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1929 |
OVI
1 - 2
VCF
48%
22%
31%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1929 |
VCF
2 - 0
RCM
66%
17%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |