Deportivo Alavés vs Tolosa CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
SDI
3 - 0
ALA
44%
22%
35%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
ALA
1 - 0
SDE
67%
17%
16%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
IZA
0 - 2
ALA
20%
21%
60%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
ALA
3 - 0
TOL
84%
10%
6%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
BAS
1 - 2
ALA
26%
21%
53%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
TOL
3 - 3
SSC
33%
22%
45%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
TUD
5 - 1
TOL
62%
18%
19%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
TOL
3 - 1
LOG
25%
21%
54%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
ALA
3 - 0
TOL
84%
10%
6%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
TOL
2 - 4
SDE
38%
22%
40%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -2 |