Deportivo Alavés vs SG Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
25.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
BAR
5 - 1
ALA
78%
13%
9%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
ALA
3 - 0
GIM
42%
22%
36%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
CAU
4 - 1
ALA
69%
17%
14%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
ORE
1 - 1
ALA
64%
19%
17%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
ALA
1 - 0
LOG
51%
22%
28%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
SGL
0 - 0
LOG
49%
22%
29%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
GIM
4 - 1
SGL
62%
18%
20%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
SGL
3 - 0
HUE
50%
21%
28%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
SGL
3 - 0
SAB
40%
23%
38%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
SGL
2 - 3
UES
47%
22%
31%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |