Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 6-7
Deportivo Alavés vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
36.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1939 |
SEV
6 - 5
ALA
71%
16%
13%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
ALA
2 - 1
RAC
37%
22%
42%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1939 |
RAC
2 - 5
ALA
83%
10%
7%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +3 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
ALA
6 - 2
ATH
24%
21%
55%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | +3 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
ATH
1 - 2
ALA
91%
6%
3%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1939 |
SEV
6 - 5
ALA
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
SEV
4 - 1
AVI
87%
9%
4%
|
76 | 25 | 51 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1939 |
AVI
2 - 0
SEV
19%
20%
61%
|
76 | 23 | 53 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
SEV
2 - 1
SDC
83%
11%
6%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
SDC
3 - 4
SEV
27%
22%
52%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |