Deportivo Alavés vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
52.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
ALA
1 - 1
SAB
45%
27%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CCF
1 - 1
ALA
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ALA
1 - 1
UDL
28%
27%
45%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
GIR
1 - 0
ALA
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
RUN
0 - 0
ALA
25%
25%
50%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
ZAR
0 - 1
LUG
73%
19%
9%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
FCB
1 - 0
ZAR
35%
25%
39%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ZAR
0 - 0
MIR
69%
20%
11%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
CFB
0 - 0
ZAR
8%
17%
76%
|
80 | 22 | 58 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
HER
1 - 1
ZAR
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |