Deportivo Alavés vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
17.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1956 |
OVI
2 - 0
ALA
68%
17%
15%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1956 |
ALA
1 - 1
BET
77%
14%
10%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1956 |
MUR
3 - 2
ALA
67%
17%
17%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1956 |
ALA
2 - 3
CDC
72%
15%
12%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1956 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ALA
63%
18%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1956 |
ZAR
1 - 0
CDC
71%
16%
14%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1956 |
ZAR
4 - 0
OVI
53%
20%
27%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 1956 |
BET
3 - 1
ZAR
55%
21%
25%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1956 |
ZAR
4 - 2
MUR
65%
18%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1956 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ALA
63%
18%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |