Deportivo Alavés vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1941 |
CON
3 - 0
ALA
43%
23%
34%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
GIR
2 - 1
ALA
48%
23%
29%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
ALA
3 - 1
OSA
58%
20%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
LEV
4 - 2
ALA
67%
17%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
ALA
2 - 1
SAB
77%
14%
9%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1941 |
ZAR
2 - 2
GIR
72%
15%
13%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
OSA
0 - 0
ZAR
53%
22%
26%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
ZAR
4 - 1
LEV
55%
20%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
SAB
4 - 2
ZAR
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
ZAR
3 - 1
FER
79%
13%
9%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |