Deportivo Alavés vs Real Unión Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
37.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1932 |
VCF
5 - 1
ALA
66%
18%
16%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1932 |
ALA
3 - 1
ARE
31%
21%
48%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1932 |
ALA
1 - 3
FCB
29%
22%
49%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1932 |
ESP
4 - 0
ALA
78%
13%
10%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1932 |
ALA
0 - 1
RMA
34%
23%
44%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1932 |
ESP
3 - 1
RUN
61%
19%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1932 |
RUN
1 - 1
RMA
43%
22%
35%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1932 |
ARE
5 - 0
RUN
56%
20%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1932 |
RUN
2 - 0
RSO
53%
21%
27%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1932 |
RUN
2 - 2
RAC
52%
20%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |