Deportivo Alavés vs Real Sociedad B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
10.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
OSA
2 - 2
ALA
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
ALA
0 - 0
CHI
17%
24%
58%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
ZAR
2 - 3
ALA
23%
24%
54%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ALA
0 - 1
SPB
73%
16%
10%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
ALA
3 - 0
RAC
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
RSO
1 - 0
RUN
30%
28%
43%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
RSO
42%
28%
31%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
RSO
0 - 1
OVI
41%
29%
30%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SPB
1 - 0
RSO
32%
29%
40%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
RSO
1 - 2
MIR
34%
28%
38%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |