Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 1-0
Deportivo Alavés vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
ALA
4 - 0
RJA
64%
23%
13%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
MAL
2 - 0
ALA
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
OVI
0 - 0
ALA
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
ALA
2 - 0
GDE
62%
24%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1978 |
ALG
2 - 1
ALA
49%
28%
23%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
PEG
0 - 3
OVI
33%
32%
35%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
OVI
0 - 1
CDO
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
OVI
0 - 0
ALA
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
PON
2 - 3
OVI
39%
31%
31%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
OVI
3 - 1
LUG
72%
19%
10%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |