Deportivo Alavés vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
38.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1975 |
FCB
5 - 0
ALA
65%
22%
13%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
ALA
1 - 0
RAY
44%
28%
28%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
ALA
1 - 2
REC
52%
27%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
MLL
0 - 1
ALA
61%
24%
14%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1975 |
ALA
1 - 0
CDT
42%
28%
30%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1975 |
VCF
1 - 2
MUR
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
MUR
2 - 1
SPO
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
MAL
3 - 1
MUR
60%
25%
16%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
MUR
0 - 2
FCB
27%
28%
44%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1975 |
ATH
2 - 0
MUR
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |