Deportivo Alavés vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
16.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1956 |
CDC
3 - 1
ALA
47%
22%
32%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1956 |
ESP
6 - 0
ALA
70%
17%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1956 |
ALA
0 - 3
ATH
24%
22%
53%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
CEL
3 - 0
ALA
65%
18%
17%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
ALA
3 - 3
VCF
36%
23%
41%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1956 |
MUR
4 - 3
ZAR
71%
16%
13%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1956 |
UDL
2 - 0
MUR
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
MUR
1 - 0
ATM
40%
23%
37%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
RSO
3 - 3
MUR
75%
15%
10%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
MUR
3 - 1
CUL
68%
17%
15%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |