Deportivo Alavés vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
20.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
24.3%
10.6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
GRA
2 - 3
ALA
78%
17%
6%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
ALA
1 - 0
ENS
54%
28%
18%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
MAL
6 - 2
ALA
72%
19%
9%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
ALA
2 - 1
CAD
34%
29%
37%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
CAS
1 - 1
ALA
67%
22%
11%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
RJA
4 - 2
VAD
30%
30%
40%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
RJA
2 - 0
JER
73%
20%
8%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
AGD
0 - 0
RJA
47%
31%
22%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
RJA
3 - 0
ELD
75%
19%
6%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
BAL
0 - 2
RJA
36%
35%
29%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |