Deportivo Alavés vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
CHA
1 - 4
ALA
21%
25%
55%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
BET
1 - 0
ALA
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
ALA
0 - 1
TER
59%
25%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
OSA
1 - 1
ALA
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
MAL
1 - 1
ALA
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
ARO
2 - 1
RCF
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
RCF
0 - 0
SAB
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
BAR
1 - 1
RCF
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
RCF
0 - 1
GRA
54%
26%
20%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
TUD
0 - 1
RCF
43%
30%
27%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |