Deportivo Alavés vs Palencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
10.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
ALA
20%
26%
54%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ALA
0 - 0
GIM
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
UDL
1 - 2
ALA
32%
29%
40%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
ALA
4 - 1
RUN
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ALA
1 - 3
OSA
22%
27%
52%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CFP
0 - 0
LMU
62%
23%
16%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ATH
0 - 0
CFP
40%
29%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
LEM
1 - 1
CFP
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CFP
1 - 0
PEÑ
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
CFP
2 - 3
LEM
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |