Deportivo Alavés vs Palencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
ALB
1 - 0
ALA
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 0
ALI
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
CEL
2 - 1
ALA
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
ALA
3 - 0
HUE
59%
25%
16%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
CDT
3 - 0
ALA
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
CFP
4 - 1
IZA
63%
22%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
IZA
0 - 0
CFP
40%
28%
33%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
AVI
3 - 3
CFP
33%
27%
39%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
CFP
3 - 0
SEG
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
CDA
0 - 0
CFP
16%
25%
60%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | -1 |