Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-5
Deportivo Alavés vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
13.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
BAR
0 - 1
ALA
44%
27%
28%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1994 |
NUM
3 - 0
ALA
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
ALA
5 - 3
CLU
77%
15%
7%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
OSA
0 - 2
ALA
33%
30%
36%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
ALA
0 - 0
IZA
75%
18%
8%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
SSC
1 - 0
NUM
51%
27%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1994 |
NUM
3 - 0
ALA
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
NUM
5 - 0
GIM
67%
21%
12%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
LEM
1 - 5
NUM
37%
30%
33%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
NUM
3 - 1
BAR
47%
29%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |