Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
ELC
1 - 0
ALA
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
PON
0 - 2
ALA
21%
27%
52%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2007 |
FCB
3 - 2
ALA
85%
11%
4%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
ALA
3 - 1
LOR
61%
24%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2007 |
ALA
0 - 2
FCB
13%
23%
64%
|
80 | 95 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
MAL
0 - 0
HER
67%
21%
12%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
MAL
0 - 0
CAS
69%
20%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2007 |
ZAR
0 - 1
MAL
72%
17%
10%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
CAD
1 - 0
MAL
44%
26%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2007 |
MAL
0 - 3
ZAR
35%
28%
38%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |