Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
REC
1 - 0
ALA
34%
27%
39%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
ALA
0 - 0
MLL
44%
27%
29%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
SEV
3 - 2
ALA
50%
25%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
ALA
0 - 0
FCB
29%
26%
45%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
RSO
3 - 1
ALA
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
MAL
1 - 0
VAD
54%
25%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
OSA
0 - 1
MAL
38%
28%
34%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
MAL
0 - 0
BET
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2003 |
BOA
1 - 0
MAL
36%
28%
36%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
ESP
2 - 1
MAL
47%
26%
28%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |