Segunda B Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Deportivo Alavés vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
ALA
1 - 0
MEL
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 1
ALA
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ALA
1 - 1
ZAM
71%
18%
10%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CUL
2 - 2
ALA
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ALA
2 - 0
CDG
69%
20%
12%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 0
MUR
22%
25%
53%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 0
LUG
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 0
PON
64%
22%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
EXT
3 - 1
LUG
15%
22%
63%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 0
CEL
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |