Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-2
Deportivo Alavés vs CD Lagun Onak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
ALA
3 - 0
LEV
61%
24%
15%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
ALM
1 - 1
ALA
69%
20%
12%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
LON
0 - 0
ALA
28%
30%
43%
|
66 | 31 | 35 | -2 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
AGD
2 - 1
ALA
46%
29%
25%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
ALA
2 - 0
SAB
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lagun Onak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
LON
4 - 1
BFC
65%
22%
14%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
ARE
3 - 3
LON
66%
21%
12%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
LON
0 - 0
ALA
28%
30%
43%
|
31 | 66 | 35 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
DEU
0 - 0
LON
46%
27%
27%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
LON
1 - 1
AUR
58%
24%
18%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |