Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-4
Deportivo Alavés vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ALA
2 - 1
VIL
38%
28%
34%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
CEL
0 - 1
ALA
59%
23%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ALA
1 - 0
RMA
8%
15%
78%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
LEV
2 - 1
ALA
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
ALA
1 - 1
GET
43%
28%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
GIR
2 - 1
RAY
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
RSO
0 - 0
GIR
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
GIR
0 - 1
TFC
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
GIR
2 - 3
EIB
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
HUE
1 - 1
GIR
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |