Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-3
Deportivo Alavés vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
33%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1962 |
ESP
2 - 0
ALA
74%
15%
11%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
ALA
1 - 0
CUL
71%
17%
12%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
BAS
0 - 0
ALA
48%
26%
27%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
ALA
2 - 1
SLA
71%
17%
12%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
PUL
0 - 1
ALA
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1962 |
ESP
2 - 0
ALA
74%
15%
11%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
BET
3 - 3
ESP
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
ESP
1 - 1
OVI
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
ZAR
3 - 0
ESP
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1962 |
CRV
5 - 0
ESP
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |