Deportivo Alavés vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
21.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1933 |
ALA
2 - 2
SAB
69%
17%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1933 |
RUN
1 - 1
ALA
68%
16%
16%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
ALA
1 - 1
VCF
46%
21%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
BET
3 - 1
ALA
62%
19%
19%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
ALA
1 - 0
ESP
31%
23%
46%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1933 |
CEL
1 - 1
SPO
58%
20%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1933 |
SEV
3 - 1
CEL
55%
22%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1933 |
CEL
3 - 1
MUR
61%
20%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
ZAR
1 - 1
CEL
74%
14%
12%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
CEL
2 - 3
ZAR
44%
22%
35%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |