Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-2
Deportivo Alavés vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
ALA
2 - 0
BAS
74%
15%
11%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
SDI
3 - 3
ALA
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
ALA
1 - 0
ATB
75%
14%
10%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1963 |
CON
4 - 1
ALA
52%
22%
26%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
ALA
1 - 1
PON
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
OSA
3 - 0
MAL
75%
15%
11%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
MAL
1 - 0
CCF
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
ZAR
4 - 0
MAL
84%
11%
6%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
MAL
1 - 1
ATM
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
SEV
2 - 1
MAL
79%
13%
7%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |