Deportivo Alavés vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
16.6%
32.5%
Draw
0-0
17.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
32.5%
44.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
18.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
OVI
1 - 0
ALA
80%
15%
5%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
ALA
0 - 1
GIM
34%
30%
36%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
UES
1 - 0
ALA
81%
14%
5%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
ALA
0 - 2
BAR
33%
29%
39%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
RAC
3 - 1
ALA
82%
14%
5%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
CAS
0 - 1
REC
82%
14%
4%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
MLL
2 - 2
CAS
40%
33%
27%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
CAS
1 - 0
CDT
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
VAD
2 - 0
CAS
53%
27%
20%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
CAS
3 - 1
SAB
75%
17%
7%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |