Deportivo Alavés vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
8.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
CEL
3 - 0
ALA
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1961 |
CAD
4 - 1
ALA
54%
21%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
CUL
0 - 1
ALA
56%
23%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
ALA
4 - 3
BAS
62%
20%
18%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
SLA
3 - 1
ALA
51%
22%
27%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
BUR
1 - 2
SPO
45%
23%
33%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
VAL
3 - 3
BUR
79%
13%
8%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
CEL
4 - 0
BUR
80%
13%
7%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
BUR
2 - 0
CUL
42%
23%
35%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
BAS
0 - 1
BUR
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |