Deportivo Alavés vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
ALA
3 - 2
RCF
59%
21%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
BAR
6 - 0
ALA
66%
18%
16%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1952 |
ALA
3 - 0
BUR
80%
13%
8%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1952 |
ALA
1 - 0
BUR
79%
13%
8%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
ALA
4 - 0
UES
74%
15%
11%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
BUR
3 - 2
CAU
41%
23%
36%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
RCF
0 - 0
BUR
81%
12%
7%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1952 |
ALA
3 - 0
BUR
80%
13%
8%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1952 |
ALA
1 - 0
BUR
79%
13%
8%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
BUR
2 - 2
BAR
38%
23%
39%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |