Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 3-5
Deportivo Alavés vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
10.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
ALA
3 - 1
RAC
84%
10%
6%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
FER
1 - 0
ALA
44%
23%
33%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
RAC
1 - 4
ALA
31%
24%
45%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ALA
4 - 0
FER
75%
14%
11%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
SSC
4 - 4
ALA
47%
23%
31%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1941 |
BAR
11 - 2
ARE
66%
17%
17%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
ARE
1 - 4
BAR
64%
18%
18%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
BAR
3 - 5
OSA
37%
24%
39%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
ARE
3 - 2
BAR
64%
19%
18%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
BAR
4 - 1
AVI
75%
14%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |