Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 10-8
Deportivo Alavés vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
27.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1932 |
ATM
6 - 0
ALA
60%
20%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1932 |
ALA
7 - 1
ATM
52%
21%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
OSA
1 - 1
ALA
54%
22%
25%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1932 |
ALA
3 - 1
OSA
57%
20%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1932 |
ALA
1 - 0
RUN
41%
22%
38%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1932 |
ATM
6 - 0
ALA
60%
20%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1932 |
ALA
7 - 1
ATM
52%
21%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
LOG
2 - 1
ATM
34%
22%
44%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1932 |
ATM
1 - 0
LOG
80%
12%
8%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1932 |
ATM
3 - 2
SEV
67%
17%
17%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |