Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 2-5
Deportivo Alavés vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
51.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1932 |
ATH
2 - 0
ALA
89%
7%
4%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1932 |
ALA
3 - 1
ATM
52%
21%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1932 |
ATM
6 - 0
ALA
60%
20%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1932 |
ALA
7 - 1
ATM
52%
21%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
OSA
1 - 1
ALA
54%
22%
25%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1932 |
ATH
2 - 0
ALA
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1932 |
ATH
4 - 1
RUN
85%
9%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1932 |
RUN
1 - 3
ATH
35%
22%
43%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1932 |
RAC
2 - 0
ATH
38%
24%
38%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1932 |
ARE
2 - 1
ATH
39%
23%
38%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |