Deportivo Alavés vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
ALA
5 - 0
SFC
77%
17%
6%
|
54 | 20 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
SDE
1 - 1
ALA
29%
32%
40%
|
56 | 24 | 32 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
ALA
1 - 1
POR
79%
15%
5%
|
57 | 24 | 33 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1986 |
2 - 0
ALA
30%
30%
40%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | -2 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
ALA
3 - 2
HOS
64%
24%
13%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
REC
4 - 1
ATH
57%
23%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
ATH
1 - 0
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
DEP
1 - 0
ATH
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
ATH
2 - 2
OVI
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
ATH
2 - 0
SSC
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +2 |