Deportivo Alavés vs At. Sanluqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ALA
3 - 0
RUN
63%
22%
16%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ALA
2 - 0
SDL
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
CAT
0 - 2
ALA
12%
21%
67%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 1
ALA
20%
26%
54%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 0
SDL
74%
16%
10%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
At. Sanluqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SEV
0 - 0
SAN
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
SRQ
26%
27%
47%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAR
15%
23%
62%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 0
SAN
67%
21%
12%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 0
XER
10%
19%
71%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | +2 |