Deportivo Alavés vs AD Ferroviaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
10.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
ZAR
5 - 3
ALA
63%
18%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
ALA
2 - 2
CON
77%
14%
10%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
ALA
1 - 0
GIR
68%
18%
14%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
OSA
6 - 2
ALA
62%
19%
19%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
ALA
7 - 1
LEV
61%
19%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
AD Ferroviaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1942 |
RMA
4 - 1
FER
87%
8%
5%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
FER
1 - 3
RMA
25%
22%
53%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
FER
1 - 0
GIR
51%
22%
27%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
OSA
2 - 0
FER
79%
12%
9%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
FER
2 - 1
LEV
45%
22%
33%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |