Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 2-0
Deportivo Alavés vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
19.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ALA
2 - 2
LEG
60%
24%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 2
ALA
29%
31%
41%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CEL
1 - 0
ALA
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
ALA
1 - 1
DEP
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ATH
0 - 0
ALA
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
HUE
0 - 1
ALC
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 2
ALA
29%
31%
41%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 0
ALC
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
CCF
1 - 2
ALC
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 0
UCA
53%
29%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |