Deportivo Alavés C vs Santurtzi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
8º
17º
13º
14
10º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 72 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 71 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 67 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 59 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 51 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 50 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 50 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 46 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 46 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 45 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 38 |
14º
|
35% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 30 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 28 |
16º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
40.5% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 16 |
18º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88% | 8% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 92% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BEA
1 - 0
DAC
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
DAC
4 - 1
PAS
33%
23%
44%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +3 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
DAC
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
DAC
1 - 2
BAS
28%
23%
49%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
LEI
1 - 0
DAC
71%
16%
13%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Santurtzi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SNT
0 - 1
CDD
35%
25%
40%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
SNT
0 - 1
CDP
44%
24%
32%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BEA
3 - 0
SNT
68%
18%
13%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SNT
2 - 2
PAS
30%
24%
46%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
SNT
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |